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Pennsylvania Harness Horsemen's Association

PHILLY'S FINEST: 4/27/17

4/26/2017

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Your Guide To Handicapping Harrah's Philadelphia.

"TROTTIN' THURSDAY" CARD AGAIN FEATURING TALENTED DIAMONDGAITERS HERE AT PHILLY

"Trottin' Thursday" at Harrah's Philadelphia has again gathered many competitive fields of fast horses on the crosslegged gait, with today's featured $15,000 contest put in the eight slot. Six of the entrants show a win within their last three starts; a seventh shows a second and a third in his only three racelines; and the program favorite, CROSBY'S CLAM BAKE, hopes to find winning ways after two seconds and four thirds in his last seven trips behind the gate. The co-featured conditioned trots, worth $13,000, see IHOLDON (sixth race, full field of nine) and LUMINOSITY (race eleven) as the program picks, and both have the ability to win.

ANALYSIS OF KEY RACES

2nd race: GUNS AN ROSES is not always the most consistent horse, but his sharpness level seems to be moving upward now as he comes off a fast-closing second (his own back fractions 54.4 - 27.2). He steps up and has PP8 here, but we're guessing he might see if he can use some of the good gate speed he's shown in the past to get into contention.
 
3rd race: Here's something you don't see every day: a maiden trotter going a third quarter in 27.1 to clear to the lead! Unfortunately, IRON MINE JOHNNY couldn't keep his composure to the wire, but the very fast quarter, in his first start in over eight months, marks him as one to watch, and may be a bit of a price IF (a big IF) staying onstride.
  
8th race: We're going to take a little shot here with WILBERFORCE, hoping that he'll be trying to get a quick start and that he won't be facing a group of like-minded individuals. He has gotten steadily better since coming back to Pennsylvania, winning easily when last here, and this type might not be more than he can handle if at his best.
 
14th race: When many of the major contenders show some breaking problems, and one of them is stuck with the outside post eight to boot, and as a public handicapper you have to make a pick, we try to pick the horse we think will be the best value -- KENT COUNTY. The two chalks are more likely, but this one, if at his best, may pay a fancy dividend.

WATCH OUT FOR: Scattered throughout the cards today and in the near future will be quite a few Pennsylvania-sired horses, now three-year-olds, getting ready for their first 2017 seasonal starts in the Pennsylvania Sire Stakes and the Pennsylvania Stallion Series competitions. The Sire Stakes events for colt pacers begin May 6; for filly pacers May 11 here at Harrah's; for filly trotters May 13; and for colt trotters May 20. The two-year-old form of these horses sometimes provides useful barometers of the potential of these horses -- but they are also among the most likely to improve by leaps and bounds start to start, so be aware of that, too.
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